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  Amit Kumar Gupta   

@amitgupta0310

Portfolio Research | Asset Allocator | Loves Scuttlebutt | Avid reader | #AKGweekendreadings | CWM® | SEBI Registered|

Followers: 16,758

  •   Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    When valuation analysts follow 'odd-pricing' phenomenon for target prices. Source : Centrum report on diagnostics.

    30/11/2021 10:10:50 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    Its 26 Nov 2031. Pfizer has launched an effective vaccine for Vega variant of coronavirus . Congo has reported 31 cases of zeta variant. France has imposed travel restrictions to Africa Nifty has opened 0.3% lower at 59765 for the fresh fears of lockdown. PS : This is Joke

    26/11/2021 04:15:00 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    The average household grocery budget has gone up by at least 20% in last few months in India. Lifestyle inflation even worse. If one takes RBI-validated inflation data to make economic decisions in equity markets is going to have hard time. CPI & WPI r lagging indicators at best

    25/11/2021 07:35:03 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    People will take time to understand the business model - Reliance Power shareholders in 2008.

    18/11/2021 03:31:31 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    RIP. He was instrumental in setting up BEC for NESCO.

    18/11/2021 11:24:05 AM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    The ITC management guided for demerger for the hotels business, NOT the Infotech vertical where rumours are being guided. A Special situation need to have a higher probability of happening as guided by the promoters. NOT what investors or stock market think Disc : No positions

    17/11/2021 07:03:29 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    It is just not SpiceJet. Other airlines doing the same. yesterday booked one for Indigo. Same issue.

    15/11/2021 08:52:56 AM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    US October CPI +6.2% y/y vs +5.8% expected Highest since 1990 Housing +0.7% m/m, so stubborn inflation continues.

    10/11/2021 07:13:14 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    MRF declared 144 Rs dividend in last quarter. 3 Rs additional dividend in this quarter. All in current FY. Same selectively biased memes are getting boring now #justsaying

    09/11/2021 12:39:58 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    The Suez Canal is hiking rates by 6% from 1 Jan, 2022 (signs of inflation) Ship traffic expected to rise by 7% in 2022 (signs of supply chain easing). Exceptions : Cruise and LNG ships LPG and dry bulk carriers already saw 5% rise in 2021. Transitory inflation persists!

    08/11/2021 06:19:27 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    The Fed's inflation measure is at a 30-year high and they are still doing ~400B of QE (-15bn$, ok!) with no rush for hiking rates. To be fair, policy makers are completely trapped. Slow and steady taper and rate cycle likely.

    04/11/2021 05:22:26 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    SBI reports highest quarterly net profit. Slippages much lower than expected. Releveraging of balance sheet can begin in the new capex cycle. Disc : Biased.

    03/11/2021 02:10:09 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    PSU bank results (ex-SREI duo impact) are coming much beyond street estimates. If SBI delivers earnings in line with estimates, then lot of catching up in this investments need to happen. Still a long way to go.

    02/11/2021 06:01:21 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    Reliance on “Research Reports” by retail investors is mostly misplaced. Most of them only care to read the “price target”, without going into the analysts’ rationale or the business. This is landmine waiting for your legs.

    01/11/2021 09:09:50 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    Key highlights in this edition of #AKGweeklycharts - Edition 26 - Weakest US earnings since Covid pandemic - Eurozone inflation up amid rising energy prices - Reasons to sell stocks in last 10yrs - Infra capex pickup in India

    01/11/2021 08:49:04 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    Turkey where the currency is hitting record lows daily is not suffering from any kind of hyperinflation. Such fearmongering about it will be killed quickly when the bottlenecks in supply chains end and pull down inflation. Trade is not an investment.

    27/10/2021 10:32:16 AM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    But trying to dress Gold as a secular investment trend instead of merely a trading opportunity is where certain section of investors is missing the point. I do not see any reason why gold should ever touch its 1980 high & why not go below its 1971 lows (in real terms) in 10yr

    26/10/2021 09:02:06 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    (5) Again, in 2000s world hit by 9/11 went on an liquidity fueled rally eventually leading to GFC. Gold jumped 5x in real terms during this decade (2001-2011).

    26/10/2021 08:55:23 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    (4) In 1970s the world faced serious stagflation as the demand generated by post WWII reconstruction activities faded & Iranian revolution created a worldwide energy crisis. Gold jumped 10x in real terms during this decade. All gains were given up in next 20yrs.

    26/10/2021 08:55:22 PM     Share:    


      Amit Kumar Gupta   

    @amitgupta0310

    (3) Understanding Gold as storage of value is more complex. Gold has served as reserve currency whenever the paper currencies have lost faith of people due to a variety of reason, particularly high inflation and/or fiscal profligacy.

    26/10/2021 08:55:22 PM     Share:    


  Amit Kumar Gupta   

@amitgupta0310

Portfolio Research | Asset Allocator | Loves Scuttlebutt | Avid reader | #AKGweekendreadings | CWM® | SEBI Registered|

Followers: 16,758

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